Title:
Apocalypse when? : calculating how long the human race will survive / Willard Wells.
Author:
Wells, Willard.
Publication Information:
Berlin ; New York : Springer ; Chichester, UK : Published in association with Praxis Pub., ©2009.
Call Number:
GF51 .W45 2009
Abstract:
In Apocalypse When? Willard Wells takes the laws of probability as the foundation for his carefully worked out formula for human survival. Using common examples- stage shows and businesses- he shows how their survival resembles humanity's.--[book cover].
ISBN:
9780387098364
Series:
Springer-Praxis books in popular science
Springer-Praxis books in popular science.
Physical Description:
xxii, 212 pages : illustrations ; 25 cm.
Contents:
Formulation -- Confirmation -- Double jeopardy -- Human survivability -- Apocalypse how? -- Appendices. A: Survival formula derived from hazard rates -- B: Posterior survivability -- C: Infinite mean duration -- D: Survival predictor from Bayes' theory -- E: Stage productions running on specified dates -- F: Extinction rates of prehistoric taxa -- G: Disaggregated mortality -- H: Stage productions with dual cum-risks -- I: Overall plan for survivability calculation -- J: Multiple hazards -- K: Cum-risks for man-made hazards -- L: Statistical weights for hazards -- M: Extinction thwarted by civilization's collapse -- N: Initial hazard rates.
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